Jimmy's weblog

Since you are my readers, and I have not been much of a traveller, I will not talk about people a thousand miles off, but come as near home as I can. As the time is short, I will leave out all the flattery, and retain all the criticism. — Henry David Thoreau

Archive for November 3rd, 2004

Market-based election prediction

Wednesday November 3, 2004 09:53

Recent trading on the presidential election at Tradesports shows a massive swing towards Kerry, likely reflecting encouraging results from leaked exit polls.
I’ve just registered and tried to place an order to buy Bush wins. Not because I think he’ll win, but because I can’t resist the current price of 25 (3-1 odds). Unfortunately, [...]